'Oil Shock' Looming - What are the Alternatives?

Readers' Comments

A very relevant post on the theme of the peak of oil production just arrived in my in-box and I would like to share it with you, the readers of this site - Sepp

To: tapten@yahoogroups.com
From: Barry Carter
Date: Thu, 24 Jun 2004 12:26:11 -0600
Subject: [tapten] The End of Oil

Dear Friends,

As many of you already know, world oil production is very close to its peak. This has become a mainstream media issue in recent days. You can read a new report on the Peak Oil Summit in Berlin here

There is another good article on the web on the subject of the relationship between oil and food. This article can be found at this page

Though the following quotes are quite pessimistic, I am not.

I am convinced that ORMUS can help us get out of this situation in a variety of ways. I will comment on these ways toward the end of this piece.

You can find several more articles on the "end of oil" linked from the index page of From the Wilderness

I have been aware of this impending crisis for several years and posted the following note to the Ecological Economics forum in 1997:

Date: Sat, 06 Sep 1997 To: ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS Subject: The end of the oil economy

Dear Friends,

The following quote from the Spring 1997 issue of the Earth Island Journal states that "beyond 2005, the energy required to find and extract a barrel of oil will exceed the energy contained in the barrel". This looks, to me, like a hard barrier, beyond which rising oil prices cannot take us, no matter how high they rise. The implication is that half of the oil wells in the world will not produce more energy than they consume. While the other half will still produce some net energy, they will quickly be depleted as price and demand goes up.

I am curious about the economic dynamics of this situation. 2005 is just a little more than 7 years off. With the current rate of automobile model development it would be virtually impossible to implement a radically new automotive technology in 7 years.

Running on Empty - The Death of the Oil Economy
by Ted Trainer

Australia - A new report on world oil resources, World Oil Supply 1930-2050 (Campbell and Laherre, Petroconsultants Pty. Ltd., 1995), concludes that the planet's oil supplies will be exhausted much sooner than previously thought.

The report, written for oil industry insiders and priced at $32,000 per copy, concludes that world oil production and supply probably will peak as soon as the year 2000 and will decline to half the peak level by 2025. Large and permanent increases in oil prices are predicted after the year 2000.

Industry experts assumed in the past that oil resources would last 50 years, based on calculations that simply divided estimated reserves by the present annual use. But this method of prediction failed to account for an increase in Third World oil use.

If everyone on Earth were to consume petroleum at the per capita rate of industrialized countries, it would require a fivefold increase in current oil production to meet the demand. If, by 2060, the world's population reaches the expected 11 billion mark and all were to consume as much energy as the average Australian does now, annual worldwide oil production would need to be increased about 30 times.

It seems that the oil companies and oil exporting countries have been fibbing. It is in their interest to state that remaining resources are in good shape, because their business agreements limit them to pumping and selling a proportion of their remaining resources. In fact, the rate of oil discovery is falling sharply. The world consumes 23 billion barrels a year,
but the oil industry finds only 7 billion barrels a year.

Economists argue that scarcity will result in price increases, making it more profitable to access poorer deposits. That seems plausible only if one thinks only about dollar costs. The fact is, as an oil field ages, increasing amounts of energy must be exerted to pump the oil out. The cost of this energy must be subtracted from the total value of the energy in the oil retrieved. According to a 1992 study, these two curves actually will intersect around the year 2005. Beyond that point, the energy required to find and extract a barrel of oil will exceed the energy contained in the barrel.

There is reason to believe that the oil industry is well aware of oil field depletion. No new supertankers have been built for 20 years, while interest in squeezing oil from shale deposits seems to be growing.

What, then, is the solution to our acute energy problem? There isn't one.

=========== end of quote ===========

In October of 2001 I wrote a note to the WhiteGold list that I think suggests ways to solve the problems described above using ORMUS:

Lao Tzu wrote:

When people lost sight of the way to live
Came codes of love and honesty,
Learning came, charity came,
Hypocrisy took charge;
When differences weakened family ties
Came benevolent fathers and dutiful sons;
And when lands were disrupted and misgoverned
Came ministers commended as loyal.

When we loose confidence in our ability to manifest what we need, we build structures to provide for these needs. These structures can be buildings or they can be institutions like corporations, governments or religions. Out of our fear we build these structures so that they will endure without change to provide that which we no longer believe we can provide for ourselves.

The one characteristic which is common to all living things is change yet we try to make our structures as unchanging as possible.

At a certain point, many of the social and economic structures we have built take on a sort of life of their own. They seek to perpetuate themselves by cornering the market on certain of our needs. When these structures get very large and powerful a few of them may try to totally control our access to food, energy, health care, shelter, clothing or free choice.

These structures tend to try to control us (their "consumers") by threatening to take away those things which they provide and which they have taught us that we cannot provide for ourselves.

As corporate, governmental and religious structures grow very large and powerful they tend to loose track of the other needs of the people they were built to serve. They also tend to maximize short term "profit" by "mining" resources without consideration of sustainability. Supply lines tend to get longer, more interdependent and more fragile.

Our food supply capability is a good example of this. The small, local, family farm has given way to large, distant corporate farms. These large farms are much more dependent on petroleum for running equipment and for shipping food to the distant consumer. As nearby petroleum is "mined" out, the supply lines for it grow longer and more difficult to support and defend. The large corporate farms also become more and more dependent on chemical poisons and fertilizers to maintain production levels because they have depleted ("mined") the mineral productivity of the soil.

As nearby soil is depleted we must go further and further to find productive land. This same scenario has been repeated over and over by every city-based civilization in the past. At some point the supply lines and profit margins are stretched so thin that the smallest disruption can bring the entire structure to the ground. We have seen something like this happen with the airline industry in the last month.

Structure is not alive and can become hostile to life. All of the worlds great spiritual teachers have opposed existing structures and suggested ways to change them. They say that we do not need to believe that we are dependent on structures to supply our needs. We should not serve structure, structure should serve us.

I think that David Hudson failed to provide ORMUS to the world because he tried to become the sole source of supply for it. He set up his corporate and religious structures so that they would point out that ORMUS is something that we need and that we can only get it from him.

When I first heard of David Hudson and his plan I realized that it was very important that no one become our sole source of supply on this. I knew that a close friend was making ORMUS and felt that it was important that his technology get out to as many people as possible. This was one of my prime considerations when a group of us started the WhiteGold list.

In the five years since the WhiteGold list was started we have collected almost a dozen different ways for obtaining ORMUS from hundreds of different sources. We have published many of these methods on the Internet so that anybody with access to water or rock can obtain ORMUS for themselves.

When people talk about how geological, economic or social disaster will come they are generally most afraid of how it will deplete their source of supply for those things that they think they need. They do not realize that structure must change or it will stifle life.

With ORMUS we have an opportunity to bring change to structures without the disaster which might accompany the destruction of these structures. The ORMUS materials can help us to produce more of our food locally by rebuilding soil productivity. See the picture of some ORMUS walnuts at:

http://www.subtleenergies.com/ormus/desc.htm

It looks like ORMUS can also be used to bring energy from the aether using a variety of methods. Our dependence on existing health care structures is sure to be reduced as we learn to produce our own ORMUS materials.

I know we are in a time of great change but change does not have to mean disaster. Those people who cooperate with their neighbors the best are more likely to prosper in these times than those who have filled bunkers with food, gasoline and guns.

I think that the greatest thing which the ORMUS materials will bring to the world is "instant karma". I have noticed that both my wants and my fears manifest much more quickly as I become more and more saturated with ORMUS. This nearly instant feedback is helping me to learn that I attract those things that I put my attention on. I much prefer to put my attention on how we can build community and love in the world than to put my attention on fear of the disasters which might result if we don't do this.

As we do build community and love in our neighborhoods we will find that our dependence on structure diminishes. If we quit feeding these monsters they will wither away in a quiet and natural process.

=========== end of quote ===========

I hinted then that building community is the key to our future prosperity. Now I am calling on everyone in the ORMUS community to help spread the word in our own local areas. If our neighbors know how to get their own food in times of crisis they will have no reason to take our food. (Our neighbors may be down the street or they may be in the country next door.)

I have always seen ORMUS as a great opportunity to avoid the worst effects of all the disaster scenarios that show up.

The way that ORMUS sought me out is one of the greatest miracles in my life. I want to share all of the ORMUS miracles with the folks on this email list and with everyone else in the world.

I hear of new ORMUS miracles almost every day. A couple of days ago I learned that cut flowers in ORMUS precipitate will grow new roots! From someone else I learned that seeds which were only sprouting ten percent of the time began to sprout ninety percent of the time when watered with sea water precipitate!

I believe that these are times of great change. I believe that the greatest of these changes is our improving connection with spirit. If improving the connection with spirit can bring about these changes in plants in one generation, imagine the changes it will bring about in us through the generations.

Please, please, please get together with others in your area. Please teach others how to make the sea water precipitate. Show them how to get a five fold increase in plant growth with ORMUS. This is the best way that I can think of to make the world a better place.

I am still looking for volunteers to help with various aspects of the ORMUS work. I think we need to get a good idea about how to spend a billion dollars on ORMUS work and this is going to take the efforts of many people.

I think it is time for everyone on this forum to take what Gary wrote in 1996 to heart:

As I have inferred before, the whole matter of ORMEs is the biggest thing to come down the pike on planet Earth for a long, long, time. The forces behind this are very "substantial". This is due to its enormous importance to the human race, at this critical point in our history, when so many titanic factors are converging at once, to determine our destiny as a species.

It is time for you to make the transition from custodian of this knowledge, to its disseminator. You have a wonderful ability to articulately explain and relate things. You must now use that to pass all this on to others, who *need* the information, who will *grow* from it, just as you have grown.

Think over your reasons for not spreading what you know, beyond the bounds of your small group of friends. The mind is such a restless thing. It worries over this and rationalizes over that. Do not listen to those voices, but rather proceed with courage and conviction, knowing that many, many, whom you have never met or even know of, are depending on you, counting on you. Great and august invisibles are helping you, pulling for you, strengthening you.

I too, am with you.

There are now hundreds and hundreds of kindred spirits who are online, waiting for what you are charged to tell them about. They are your friends, and millions more will be joining them. Tell them the good news. Remember the parable of the Talents? Don't allow this to remain buried, confined to your small circle of friends, any longer. Good journey!

At 12:59 PM 6/10/2004, I wrote:

Dear Friends,

An article on the BBC web page a couple days ago suggests that crude oil prices may quadruple soon.

Is the world's oil running out fast?
By Adam Porter
at the Peak Oil conference in Berlin

If you think oil prices are high at $40 a barrel then wait till they are four times that much.

Since food prices and availability are also tied to oil prices the availability of relatively cheap food would also be threatened.

In the past city based civilizations typically have collapsed when the circle of food production around the city became too large to sustain the transport of food to the city. Food and energy for transportation of food seem to be the major factors in maintaining city based civilizations.

Those of us who have gardens may wish to start thinking now about how we can increase production in those gardens so that we can meet more of our nutritional needs from these gardens. We may also wish to think about setting up our own energy supplies like solar, wind or other alternative energy source.

While the information about the end of oil has been available for several years it is just now starting to hit the mainstream media. Since I first became aware of it I have been thinking about how to mitigate the effects so that millions do not starve. I recently got confirmation of an inexpensive method that appears to increase food productivity from four to ten times. You can see pictures of an orange the size of a cantaloupe and a walnut the size of a tennis ball.

It looks like there is a bit of time before global oil production peaks. The best current estimate is that this will probably happen around 2010. I hope that the folks on this list will start thinking now about how we can keep doing what we are doing when this happens.

With kindest regards,

Barry Carter
2319 Balm
Baker City, Oregon 97814
Phone: 541-523-3357
Web Page:
Forest

Posted by: Sepp on June 25, 2004 11:52 AM

 

"The U.S. Govt's Secret Colorado Oil Discovery"? Is that accurate? I just received that very report from newsmax.com. My thinking is that, if that is accurate information, that land and oil and it's profits belong to all of Us. We have a representative government, "of, by and for the People". The government doesn't own us; We own them. If they already owned that land prior to that discovery then that's Our land. All profits from that oil should be divided equally among every US citizen, 18 and older, annually for as long as it is profitable. It would eliminate the need for many current government programs because everyone would suddenly be able to provide for their own needs. It would eliminate the government's ability to oppress the poor, as they regularly do, because no one would be poor and everyone could afford to fight back. It would "level the playing field" like nothing else would. If this is true then that's Ours...and I think We should claim it.

Posted by: Chris Joyner on June 7, 2007 08:32 PM

 

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